-
Investment Insights
321 Results-
![Janet Yellen Is Your Friend]()
28 Sep, 2016Janet Yellen Is Your Friend
I have not met Janet Yellen, but she seems like a perfectly friendly person. Yet, for some reason, investors seem to panic whenever she hints that the Fed is discussing whether and when to lift ...
-
![Give Us Your Poor]()
16 Sep, 2016Give Us Your Poor
A large percentage of energy expended at Angeles is in evaluating, analyzing and judging investment managers. It is a core ...
-
![Falling Behind]()
25 Aug, 2016Falling Behind
It's good to be tall.Tall people tend to be more highly educated, earn more over their careers, are higher in the social pecking order, and live longer with better health.[Please don't complain to me ...
-
![Negative Negative is Positive]()
22 Aug, 2016Negative Negative is Positive
Housing is a small part of the larger economic picture, contributing only about 5% to GDP (although includingÂall the ancillary and related services probably triples that number). Still, for most ...
-
![2ND QUARTER 2016 - FISSION]()
26 Jul, 20162ND QUARTER 2016 - FISSION
University of Chicago is known for its excellent academics, not so much for its athletic prowess. But that wasn't always the case. One hundred years ago, the Maroons were the premier football...
-
![Rupture]()
28 Jun, 2016Rupture
[nota bene: this is a long one; if you dont have time, just skip to the summary at the end. I promise, no hard feelings.]The political experts were remarkably accurate in last weeks UK referendum on ...
-
![La Justice?]()
7 Jun, 2016La Justice?
I'm not French, and I'm not a lawyer. So I am certainly not a French lawyer. These facts may be obvious, but I state them as a possible explanation for my lack of understanding the (tortured) logic in ...
-
![Floating Oil]()
24 May, 2016Floating Oil
Oil has had a nice recovery this year (see graph for Brent, YTD), up about 18% to over $48/barrel today. Of course, this is still well below the +$100/barrel we saw from 2011 through most of 2014, so ...
-
![Housing Has Legs]()
24 May, 2016Housing Has Legs
Surprisingly strong housing numbers out this morning: new single-family homes rose 16.6% in April to an annual pace of 616,000 (see chart below), well above expectations, and up 23.8% over the past ...
-
![Inside the Triangle]()
23 May, 2016Inside the Triangle
Complexity makes investing so challenging. Unlike the pure sciences, there are no hard truths in investing, no discoverable axioms that determine outcomes with 100% confidence. At best, we can speak ...
-
![2016 - 1st Quarter Commentary]()
17 May, 20162016 - 1st Quarter Commentary
To read more, download the full 16 page PDF: ...
-
![Managing Home Bias: Defending the Value of Global Equities]()
10 May, 2016Managing Home Bias: Defending the Value of Global Equities
Home Bias is the tendency for investors to overÃÂallocate to domestic investments regardless of the benefits of global diversification in terms of both risk and reward.
-
![1ST QUARTER 2016 - FOUNDATIONS]()
4 May, 20161ST QUARTER 2016 - FOUNDATIONS
Some of the most impressive accomplishments in human history were born of vanity, some rose from sheer curiosity, some were driven by commerce, others by necessity.
-
![Still in Neutral]()
7 Apr, 2016Still in Neutral
The first quarter began with a bang and ended with a whimper. At least, that's the message from the VIX (volatility index"see below). Bouncing around an elevated level of around 28 for much of ...
-
![Laboring]()
24 Mar, 2016Laboring
In some respects, this is a golden age for labor. The unemployment rate has dropped to 4.9% from a high of 10% in October 2009. It's not quite as low as the 3.8% in early 2000, or the post-war low of ...
-
![In A Hole]()
4 Mar, 2016In A Hole
Two months ago, I offered some hope that drop we saw on the first day of 2016 was a good omen for the rest of the month and year (). ÂI noted that, of the 14 opening day declines since 1928, only ...
-
![4TH QUARTER 2015 - BOUNDARIES]()
3 Feb, 20164TH QUARTER 2015 - BOUNDARIES
Painting has been a human endeavor probably since we developed opposable thumbs. Traditionally, painting filled one of two purposes: either decorative, with splashes of colors and designs, or commemorative, capturing a scene.
-
![Digging Out]()
25 Jan, 2016Digging Out
The eastern United States was buried in snowstorm ...
-
![AprÃs moi le déluge]()
5 Jan, 2016AprÃs moi le déluge
In more ways than one.We greeted the new year with an actual deluge, at least here in California, as the long-promised El NiÃo swooped in with force. Mudslides and traffic ...
-
![A Year-End Thought]()
31 Dec, 2015A Year-End Thought
This week, my college basketball team visited southern California, and I was lucky enough to spend some time with them over the past few days. I foundÂmyselfÂre-connecting to my ...
-
![Path to Progress]()
8 Dec, 2015Path to Progress
Zimbabwe is a country of 14 million people. I've never been there, and I can't recall if I've ever met anyone from there, but I'm sure that the vast majority of Zimbabweans are very pleasant people. ...
-
![O Pais do Futuro]()
30 Nov, 2015O Pais do Futuro
Charles de Gaulle (photoÂbelow)"imperious, disdainful, utterly French (and venerated for it in France)"noted 50 years ago that "Brazil was the country of the future." With more than 200 ...
-
![Under My Thumb]()
20 Nov, 2015Under My Thumb
As Mick Jagger sang (screeched?) 50 years ago. The song was about turning the tables on a domineering woman (The girl who once had me down).A bit sexist, to be sure, but the song came to mind when ...
-
![Fairy Tales]()
19 Nov, 2015Fairy Tales
The technology bubble of the late 1990s is a distant memory for most investors, and an ignorance for the rest. ...
-
