Latest Blog: Two (Percent) is a Sad Num... - 09/21/2020
Investment Insights are written by Angeles' CIO Michael Rosen
Michael has more than 30 years experience as an institutional portfolio manager, investment strategist, trader and academic.
Let me stipulate up-front: I love Greece. Everything about it: the food, the weather, the history, the music, the people. Everything.
But I wouldn’t lend them my money. Greece has a long (very long) history of borrowing money with little regard for paying it back. I’m not casting aspersions, or taking a moral stance, just saying the facts. As the calendar flips from May to June, we are about to come to (another) moment of truth about Greek debts. Or rather, their lenders are about to come to this moment of truth.
And what is that truth? Greece cannot pay. The European Central Bank and the IMF would like to think this is Greece’s problem but, of course, it’s really theirs. Over the next two months, Greece is due to repay nearly €8 billion (table below). Through various gimmicks, Greece might be able to come up with about €2 billion. You see the problem.
Greece has already undergone an enormous contraction. Its GDP has fallen 27%, and it has slashed its fiscal and current account deficits from between negative 12% and 20% of GDP to surpluses. These are Herculean adjustments.
No matter. The clock is about to run out. So it’s really not about what Greece can/will do; it’s about what the ECB/IMF can/will do. I don’t know the answer to that (I’m not sure the ECB or IMF do either). Whatever their decision, the unintended, unforeseen consequences could be momentous. Yasou!PRINT THIS ARTICLE
Still in Neutral 04-07-2016
The first quarter began with a bang and ended with a whimper. At least, that's the message from the VIX (volatility ...READ MORE
Picking Up the Pace 08-28-2015
Lost amidst the market turmoil this week were a number of reports of a strengthening US economy. Consumer confidence ...READ MORE
Still Beach Reading 09-10-2020
It's still beach weather here in Southern California, so I have a few more suggestions for beach reading.Begin Again by ...READ MORE
We build portfolios of best-in-class investment managers across all asset classes. If you would like to be considered for our portfolios, please contact us using our manager inquiries form.
- MANAGER INQUIRIES
How Can We Help You?Institutional Investors
Fully resourced investment office built to manage sophisticated client investment programsPrivate Wealth
Personalized discretionary portfolio and wealth management services powered by institutional processInvestment Management
Rigorous process and a flexible platform designed to meet client needsArticles & Insights
Latest insights and perspectives from the Angeles teamContact Us
Get in touch