CLIENT LOGIN
-
-
CIO INSIGHTS
-
BACK TO CIO INSIGHTS
BACK TO ARTICLES & INSIGHTS HOME
-
-
-
-
Investment Insights are written by Angeles' CIO Michael Rosen
Michael has more than 30 years experience as an institutional portfolio manager, investment strategist, trader and academic.
ERIN GO BRAGH!
Published: 03-17-2015In honor of St. Patrick, I thought I’d share this (mostly) green chart with you, showing the DJIA over the past 115 years, delineated by bull and bear markets (courtesy of Ned Davis Research).
US stocks are at all-time highs in both nominal and real terms, and you can see we are in the midst of a secular bull market. My own two punts (or cents) is that valuations in US equities are a bit stretched, but not extreme, meaning a correction of 5% or 10% should be expected. But that this would devolve into a bear market seems unlikely to me.
It is well known that there are no snakes (the reptilian kind, I can’t vouch about the human version) in Ireland because St. Patrick banished them to the sea. Scientists tells us that post-glacial Ireland never had snakes, so there was nothing for St. Patrick to banish, but like most Irish tales, I prefer the story to the facts.
But as investors, it’s just the facts (ma’am). The secular bull market demands we remain fully committed to equities, but valuations suggest we should anticipate some turbulence. But we welcome any declines, which we will put to good use by rebalancing portfolios. So fear not the snakes lurking in the grass; they, too, will be banished again. Erin Go Bragh!
PRINT THIS ARTICLE-
More (Not Necessarily) Beach Reading 07-29-2019
For many people, the beach is an escape, and they want their beach books to transport them to worlds of fantasy. Coming ...
READ MORE -
Memento Mori 04-26-2020
The Romans had a tradition that, following a military victory, the triumphant general was paraded through the city in a ...
READ MORE -
LOVE 02-14-2017
It's probably no surprise to you that I see offering world-class investment advice as a valuable service for the ...
READ MORE
-
-
CONNECT WITH USSUBSCRIBE TO ANGELES' INSIGHTS
Get the latest investment information and stay on top of market trends.
-
CONTACT US
SANTA MONICA
429 SANTA MONICA BLVD
SUITE 650
SANTA MONICA, CA 90401
310.393.6300
GET DIRECTIONS -
NEW YORK
375 PARK AVENUE
SUITE 2209
NEW YORK, NY 10152
212.451.9240
GET DIRECTIONS
