Latest Blog: Fireside Reading - 12/15/2020
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UNDER MY THUMB 11-20-2015
As Mick Jagger sang (screeched?) 50 years ago. The song was about turning the tables on a domineering woman (The girl who once had me down).A bit ...
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FAIRY TALES 11-19-2015
The technology bubble of the late 1990s is a distant memory for most investors, and an ignorance for the rest. ...
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PATRICIA 10-23-2015
It's another beautiful day in Santa Monica: blue skies, a few high wisps of stratus clouds. But 1500 miles south of here is the strongest hurricane ...
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I'M SWISS 10-13-2015
No question, this has been a challenging year. Virtually every financial asset class is struggling. Stocks are down, bonds are down, gold is down, oil ...
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URSA MINOR 10-02-2015
The bears are stirring. Not yet rampaging, but there's a lot of red ink across most markets.Today's jobs report was weak. No honey-coating it, it was ...
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3RD QUARTER 2015 - GO WEST (AND EAST, NORTH AND SOUTH) 10-01-2015
Humans have inhabited the earth for what is a mere blink of the eye. The Universe was formed around 13 Â billion years ago, the Earth 7 billion ...
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YOGI 09-24-2015
Baseball, more than any other sport, by far, has drawn its share of colorful characters. I don't know why that is, but it is.This week, we lost one of ...
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DROP (IN THE BUCKET) 09-15-2015
Markets will fluctuate, as Pierpont Morgan caustically observed. And "fluctuate" means down as well as up. Perhaps I, too, am being caustically ...
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MAULED 09-11-2015
Investors in Emerging Markets could be forgiven for feeling as if they've gone 15 rounds with Ronda Rousey (see below). Or, more like 3 years with ...
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JOBS 09-04-2015
Markets have taken today's employment release as evidence of a weakeningjobs market. A mere 173,000 net new jobs were added in August, below the ...
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PICKING UP THE PACE 08-28-2015
Lost amidst the market turmoil this week were a number of reports of a strengthening US economy. Consumer confidence soared last month, as did new ...
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JOLT 08-25-2015
Two weeks ago (13 August, No Panic (Yet)) I noted that the renminbi devaluation was officially described as a modest alignment with market forces, ...
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LAND OF BORAT 08-20-2015
I probably should not confess to enjoying Borat (full title:Borat: Cultural Learnings of America for Make Benefit Glorious Nation of Kazakhstan), 86 ...
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NO PANIC (YET) 08-13-2015
Earlier this week, China devalued its currency 1.9% against the US dollar. On one level, this is not a big deal. China's currency has been ...
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CRIMINALS IN DIAPERS 08-05-2015
Japan grew from the (literal) ashes of the Second World War to become the second largest economy in the world by creating products we all wanted. Some ...
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DRY HOLE 07-29-2015
Southern California just had the wettest July on record, the Angels were rained out of a home game for the first time in 20 years, and we're all ...
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HOT BIDDING 07-27-2015
The housing recovery, from its worst downturn since at least the 1930s, has been steady, but much less robust than most had expected. There are many ...
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PLUNGING 07-24-2015
Commodity prices are in free fall. The Bloomberg Commodity Price Index (5-year chart below) is off about 30% in the last year. Gold is dropping toward ...
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WILD, WILD EAST 07-13-2015
The central planners in Beijing have gotten so much right for the past three decades, that they might be forgiven for believing in their own ...
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??? 07-06-2015
I'm not sure why the pundits were predicting the Greeks would volunteer to walk meekly to their certain ruin, but the vote yesterday apparently ...
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2ND QUARTER 2015 - CLOSE HAUL 07-01-2015
Sailing has been an inextricable companion of human development and civilization. Artifacts over 7,000 years old contain pictures of sail boats, more ...
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PUERTO POBRE 06-30-2015
An honest politician may be oxymoronic (or is just moronic?), or maybe it's the black swan that surprises us when seen. Either way, Alejandro Garcia ...
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DRAMA/DRACHMA 06-29-2015
Here we go again, as Ronald Reagan used to say. Asian equities off 2-3%, Europe down 3-4%, Treasuries rallying, gold up. What's going on?The latest ...
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MORE ON RATES... 06-26-2015
A few days ago (Beginning's End) I suggested 2015 might turn out to be the worst year for bond investors in the past three decades. Here are some ...
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