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  EM THOUGHTS...NOT THERE YET 11-25-2014

  Successful investing is frequently about balancing valuation with growth prospects. We would all love to invest in cheap assets with strong ...

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  JOBS 11-24-2014

  There's no doubt that the headline unemployment rate (5.8%) does not tell the full picture of the job market. Specifically, there have been three ...

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  PRESSURE BUILDING 11-20-2014

  Yes, we all know the European economy is not growing: stagnant, sclerotic, etc. But this fact is not a crisis. It's a concern, a problem, a ...

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  SPREADS 11-18-2014

  An interesting graphic from Ken Leech of Western Asset showing that spreads in Bondland this year are pretty much unchanged from the start of the ...

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  MONEY MATTERS 11-17-2014

  When the Fed embarked on Quantitative Easing (QE), many prominent economists warned this would lead to hyperinflation (or, at least, an wanted surge ...

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  SELECTED FUN FACTS 11-14-2014

  Some fun facts about this year (courtesy Michael Hartnett of Merrill Lynch):US equities (+14%) are ahead of European equities (-6%) by the widest ...

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  "SPECIAL"? 11-13-2014

  The following item caught my eye on Bloomberg:Los Angeles City Employees' Retirement System is scheduled to discuss a staff report requested at a ...

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  LOGISTICS 11-11-2014

  Not enough attention is being paid to the work slowdown/stoppage going on at West Coast ports.The last time there was a disruption was in 2002, and it ...

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  HOW THE MIGHTY FALL 11-11-2014

  Between March 2000 and October 2002, the NASDAQ Index fell 75%, from over 5,000 to under 1,300. Of course, valuations were beyond silly at the peak, ...

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  HAPPY SINGLES DAY! 11-11-2014

  11 November is celebrated in the US as Veteran's Day and throughout Europe as Armistice Day, marking the armistice ending the First World War in 1918. ...

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  US MANUFACTURING 11-04-2014

  Wow. The good people at the Institute for Supply Management survey American manufacturers every month and ask, "how's business?" They then create a ...

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  IT'S A BIG WORLD 11-03-2014

  With apologies to Walt Disney, the global economy is getting, well, more global, and, intuitively, companies' sensitivities to global macro factors ...

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  QE IMPACT? 10-31-2014

  QE3 (the policy, not a new Cunard ship) was launched 2 years ago and ended this week. The expanded it balance sheet by $1.6 trillion, or ...

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  DOUBLE LEVERAGE? 10-29-2014

  Oil prices are down about $30 from their highs; great news for consumers and the big oil importers (China, Korea, India). Not so good news for the big ...

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  BRASIL 10-28-2014

  A hundred years ago, I studied international relations in school (the Sykes-Picot Treaty was a hotly-debated current topic among us). For the few of ...

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  THE PRESENT IS THE FUTURE (AT LEAST IN BOND LAND) 10-27-2014

  In our long-term assumptions, we generally assume that the total return in fixed income is pretty close to its starting yield. That's because a ...

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  I'M NOT DEAD! 10-24-2014

  A great line from a great Monty Python movie, and another crisp cover from The Economist: ...

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  KIDS! 10-23-2014

  On a totally non-market subject, more young adults are living with their parents, and here's the graph to prove it (courtesy of Hugo Scott-Gall of ...

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  EUROPE FALLING 10-22-2014

  Yes, pessimism over Europe's prospects is high, and valuations in Europe are relatively low. But both for good reasons.Below is another data point ...

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  REVERSAL 10-21-2014

  I'm interpreting the spike down last week and the strong rebound in the past few days as bullish. See the chart below from Friday's close ...

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  SHADES OF 2007? 10-17-2014

  Nice graphic in today's FT showing the spike in vol and sell-off in risk (Greek bond yields jumped from 5.5% to 9% in the past few days).I still think ...

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  OLD AGE 10-16-2014

  It's been 3 years since US equities have corrected more than 10%. But there's no law about how long rallies can last without a correction.In ...

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  CONSIDER 10-16-2014

  Consider:Volatility spiked to its highest level in over 2 years.Global equities are in negative territory this year, led by Europe's 10% ...

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  KNOWNS AND UNKNOWNS 10-16-2014

  Until last month, 2014 was a year of investor complacency. Recent market volatility has shaken offrnthe prevailing calm with a healthy re-examination ...

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